Week 15 Picks Final Report - 2016 NW Indiana High School Football


A USA-365.com Special Report by Mark Smith

August 17, 2017

'Mr. Picker' WEEK-15, 2016 Football Picks in Review:
Nov. 25-26, 2016

Wrong - 1; Right - 5 = 87.5%

The Pick The Result

(2A) Ritter 28, Eastbrook 21  

Ritter 28-6

(4A) Roncalli 31, Northwood 20  

Roncalli 34-22

(6A) Center Grove 20, Carmel 10  

(wrong) Carmel 16-13 (OT)

 

(1A) Linton 45, Pioneer 34  

Linton 34-20

(3A) Concordia 41, Lawrenceburg 28  

Concordia 56-14

(5A) Westfield 28, Columbus East 27  

Westfield 16-13

 

WEEK (15) FIFTEEN (5 of 6, 87.5%)
WEEK (14) FOURTEEN (6 of 12, 50.0%)
WEEK (13) THIRTEEN (8 of 12, 66.7%)
WEEK (12) TWELVE (9 of 12, 75.0%)
WEEK (11) ELEVEN (13 of 16, 81.4%)
WEEK (10) TEN (19 of 20, 95.0%)
WEEK (9) NINE (6 of 10, 60.0%)

WEEK (8) EIGHT (8 of 10, 80.0%)

WEEK (7) SEVEN (7 of 10, 70.0%)

WEEK (6) SIX (5 of 10, 50.0%)
WEEK (5) FIVE (5 of 10, 50.0%)
WEEK (4) FOUR (7 of 10, 70.0%)
WEEK (3) THREE (7 of 10, 70.0%)
WEEK (2) TWO (7 of 10, 70.0%)
WEEK (1) ONE (7 of 12, 58.3%)
PLAYOFFS: (60 of 78, 76.8%)
SEASON FINAL: (119 of 170, 70.0%)
 

ANALYSIS: 5 of 6. A good finish. Center Grove losing in overtime kept me from being 6-6. Why so much better in the post-season (76.8%) than in the regular season (67%)? Probably the details that are available on the two teams as they advance. Some early season high school games are total guesses.

Pioneer's fullback gained almost 1,000 yards during the season. He was hurt in the semistate and could not play in the state final. Linton Stockton was the favorite anyway, but the knowledge that a key offensive player for Pioneer was out helps you guess who'll win. You don't know that stuff during the regular season unless you follow that team closely. 60 of 78 on the post-season is good and 5 of 6 in the finals is very good.

WORST PICK: None. Carmel beat Center Grove, but it was an overtime game. A tie after regulation. If they played again, I'd still pick Center Grove. It wasn't a bad pick.

BEST PICK: Probably Westfield again. That was a strength of schedule pick. All the Indy teams benefit from plenty of top competition close to home.

 

'Mr. Picker' (Through the Years)
2016 (final) OVERALL: 119 of 170 = 70.0%
2015 (final) OVERALL: 131 of 174 = 75.2%
2014 (final) OVERALL: 131 of 176 = 74.4%
2013 (final) OVERALL: 130 of 175 = 74.2%

2012 (final) OVERALL: 137 of 177 = 77.4%

2011 (final) OVERALL: 134 of 184 = 72.7%
2010 (final) OVERALL: 135 of 184 = 73.3%
2009 (final) OVERALL: 154 of 212 = 72.6%
2008 (final) OVERALL: 145 of 193 = 75.1%
2007 (final) OVERALL: 143 of 188 = 76.0%
2006 (final) OVERALL: 166 of 217 = 76.4%
2005 (final) OVERALL: 170 of 233 = 72.9%


The Renegade 'Magnificent-7' 2017 NW Indiana High School Football Week-1 Poll


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Revised: August 17, 2017 .