A USA-365.com Special Report by Mark Smith
11-10-2008
MERRILLVILLE (11-14-2008)
The
2008 season becomes very circular as the top three teams in the pre-season
(Lowell, Merrillville and Griffith) are the top three big schools remaining in
the post-season after the sectional round.
I think it's clear that teams wear down once we get beyond the sectional and you are playing for the 13th or 14th consecutive week. Of the five NW Indiana teams still alive, Lowell and Andrean did get to the lead to the extent that they were able to get starting players off the field in the fourth quarter. Some times what observers call 'coming out flat' is simply a team wearing out after 12 or 13 consecutive weeks of play. Coaches probably ease up on contact in practice early in the week once we get to November to keep the boys in shape to go four quarters on Friday night. You really don't know who is playing hurt at this point. What I cannot accurately determine is how beneficial it is for JV and freshmen to continue practicing with teams like Lowell and Merrillville for an extra month after their season ends.
There is a theory that says that the same teams go deep into the state tourney every year because some teams like Griffith get a month of extra practice that teams which are eliminated in the sectional quarterfinals do not get. There has been a fan problem everywhere but Lowell, where the new expanded home grandstand was filled even in winter-like temperatures against an unknown opponent.
Fan support reportedly was a little light in Chesterton and at Griffith. Too bad. These are the big games and they should all be sellouts. The length of the playoffs is somewhat to blame here. A lot of folks who call themselves football fans really won't go out in bad weather three or four Fridays in a row, especially if the foe is a team with a mediocre record. Just another reason why the all-inclusive state tourney where everybody, even 0-9 teams, makes the playoff is a broken down system.
Again, everyone who ranks Lowell ahead of Merrillville even though they know the Devils would not beat the Pirates needs to go stand next to all those people who say the Bulls' Derrick Rose is a point guard when they know he's not.
1.) 5A Merrillville (8-4)
2007 (12-2), 2006 (7-5), 2005 (11-3), 2003
(5-6), 2004 (6-5)
MERRILLVILLE:
Merrillville has beaten sectional
champ Griffith, DAC champ Chesterton
twice and they lost 42-0 to Warren
Central, a team ranked No. 1 state
wide in the computer rankings.
2.) 5A Valparaiso (9-2)
2007 (6-5), 2006 (3-6), 2005 (5-5), 2004
(6-5), 2003 (5-6)
VALPARAISO:
Valparaiso's
win over Merrillville and Penn look pretty good now that one of those latter two
teams is guaranteed of reaching the 5A Semistate
2.) 4A Lowell (12-0)
2007 (13-2), 2006 (7-6), 2005 (11-4), 2004
(9-4), 2003 (11-2)
LOWELL:
The best
thing that can be said about Lowell's 49-20 win over South Bend Clay is that
they got that 6th straight sectional title, the second longest for any NW
Indiana team in the history of the state tourney.
4.) 5A Chesterton (9-3)
2007 (6-4), 2006 (5-6), 2005 (3-8), 2004
(5-5), 2003 (7-4)
CHESTERTON:
Chesterton
did well, falling 14-7 to Merrillville to end the season in the Class 4A
Sectional One championship game. The Trojans' record of 9-3 is all they
could expect and the co-DAC championship is an honor. Chesterton's option
offense didn't dominate in bad weather the way it might in future years.
There could be a drop off here as Chesterton graduates both QBs and several
linemen. But QB is an easier position to fill on an option team than it is on a
pro-set or spread offense team.
You don't know what they might have done had not QB Aaron Knight broke his hand
in the seventh game of the year, but Andy Miller was more than adequate as a
fill-in. I like the pickup of Class 3A New Prairie as a second week opponent in
2009. Two option teams and a nearby opponent. NP now begins the season
with LaPorte and Chesterton. But next year: Please. No more of
this 'Everybody picked us to finish last'. Winning programs don't say
things like that.
5.) 4A Griffith (8-4)
2007 (9-4), 2006 (12-2), 2005 (12-1), 2004 (9-3), 2003 (7-5)
GRIFFITH:
6.)
4A Hobart (9-2)
2007 (8-4), 2006 (10-2), 2005 (6-6),
2004 (9-2), 2003 (5-7)
HOBART:
I still do not have a good
explanation of what happened to the
Brickies after they lead 14-7 at
Griffith in the 4A Sectional 9
semifinal (against a team they shut
out 19-0 earlier) and ended up
losing.
In the first half, QB Matt Barras
smoked the Panther defense for
8-of-11 and 218 yards. Barras was
sacked nine times after not being
sacked all year. Hobart gave up a
season-high 390 rushing yards. Bobby James (37 catches, 674
yards) ends his four-year career as
Hobart's all-time leading receiver
and the almost certain NW Indiana
MVP. So the
Brickies are 41-16 in the last five
years. New school. New
weight room.
New stadium in 2009. Maybe a couple
of new students from a nearby by
school closing (I'm not saying. I'm
just saying). No chance of being
slotted into the inevitable new
Class 6A that is coming in 2009 or
2010.
No NW Indiana school has a football
future brighter than Hobart's.
7.) 5A Portage (6-4)
2007 (5-5), 2006 (6-5), 2005 (2-8), 2004 (8-4), 2003 (11-2)
PORTAGE:
The
Indians were crushed twice by Valparaiso, including a 42-19 loss in the 5A
Sectional One quarterfinals and a decent season is over for them. The
future is bright here with all-purpose back Jake Dixon (5 interceptions) and
promising Jake Huston, who missed the entire year with injury. QB Eric
Melcic (41 of 92, 698 yards, 5 TDs) was inexperienced in 2008, but he won't be
if he returns in 2009 and 2010. Portage won't get much credit (and they
should get little for a 6-4 season, everybody's supposed to be at least 5-5),
but they played through a lot of problems this year in a tough league and they
came out on the sunny side of .500. I think their program is on the rise
to 1990s glory. But they need to be. Portage will certainly be Class
6A when it comes. The Portages, Crown Points and Lake Centrals are going to have
to get stronger to ride in a limousine with just the state's elite.
8.) 5A LaPorte (4-8)
2007 (8-3), 2006
(12-1), 2005 (11-1), 2004 (4-7), 2003 (5-5)
LaPORTE:
Penn ended the
season of LaPorte 33-18, but not
until after the Slicers led 6-0 and
trailed just 20-18 at the half.
Halfback Carlton Austin (1,800
yards rushing, 22 TDs), the DAC's
certain offensive MVP, carried 26
times for 156 yards against the
Northern Indiana Conference
champions. LaPorte gave up
more points than they scored in 2008
and that's not what any player or
coach wants. But they have QB Dustin DeMuth back in 2008, which means
they're going to have an offense.
Word also is that when the IHSAA
goes to six classes, LaPorte will
be
high in the 5A Class, instead of one
of the smallest 6A schools.
That's something the Slicers will
give a 'high 5' to.
MICHIGAN
CITY:
MUNSTER:
Munster
did validate their season with a 23-0 win over Lake Central.
Even
though LC was last in the DAC, the Mustangs should welcome any win over any team
from the bigger, better league and they beat their arch rival.
This
was a successful season.
The
blowout 37-7 sectional semifinal loss to Merrillville was not a major surprise
and the further
Merrillville goes, the better that loss looks.
Again,
this (7-4 or maybe 8-3) is as
good as Munster is going to do under the present set of circumstances.
They
can't
win
Sectional
One
as it's
set up now because they play 3A and 4A schools during the regular season.
They
can't
play Griffith and Lowell and then expect to beat Merrillville and Valparaiso.
That dog won't
hunt.
The
Mustangs must totally revamp roster-wise for 2009 and it could be a little
painful.
Wirt
closing means Munster will also have a new week two foe in 2009 and it will be
Bishop Noll.
Not
good.
Noll
may be Class 1A soon.
Munster
needs to be 5A in a six class system and here's hoping that happens for them.
On the outside looking in...
5A CROWN POINT (3-7)
2007 (8-3), 2006 (12-1), 2005 (11-1), 2004 (4-7), 2003 (5-5)
CROWN POINT:
Crown Point hasn't been out
of the Top-10 for a
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Revised: November 11, 2008
.